• L2 Att Eff 2014-15

    League 2 attack & defence: 2014/15

    While I’m really happy that the scatter graphics I’ve been churning out for the past four years continue to be so well-received, I’ve long wished for them to look a bit prettier.

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  • L1 Att Eff 2014-15

    League 1 attack & defence: 2014/15

    While I’m really happy that the scatter graphics I’ve been churning out for the past four years continue to be so well-received, I’ve long wished for them to look a bit prettier.

    Read more »
  • CH Att Eff 2014-15

    Championship attack & defence 2014/15

    This is an update of a previous post for the 2014/15 Championship season, but replacing the graphics with the new versions I’ve developed. While I’m really happy that the scatter graphics

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  • CP Att Eff 2014-15

    Conference attack & defence 2014/15

    This is an update of a previous post for the 2014/15 Conference season, but replacing the graphics with the new versions I’ve developed. While I’m really happy that the scatter graphics I’ve

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Visualising the 2015/16 La Liga and Serie A fixtures

La Liga fixture map 2015-16

The La Liga and Serie A fixtures weren’t out before I went on holiday, so their fixture difficulty maps have been created a bit later than the rest. If you haven’t seen these before, what I’ve done is taken an average of leading bookmakers’ title odds (as a proxy for each club’s “strength”) and then divided the clubs four categories based on the

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How do clubs tend to fare from one season to the next?

CH season to season

We’re approaching the time of year when a host of club-by-club season previews start appearing, with fans and pundits predicting how their team will fare. Inevitably, most will be targeting an improvement on last season’s finish, but how do expectations tend to compare with reality? I’ve already had a go at visualising what the bookmakers think, but we can also set a

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Five Football League clubs who could be in a false position at the end of August

August projections

At the end of August the Football League season will be five games old and – even though there will still be plenty of football to be played – we won’t be able to stop ourselves from forming judgements about how clubs are performing. One of the main obstacles to doing this in a balanced way is the fixture schedule: some

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2014/15: overachievers and underachievers

A v E - L2 2014-15

In case you missed the flurry of posts yesterday, I’ve built a lower league ratings system that includes a calculation of expected goals. If you’re not familiar with these, it basically boils down to giving every shot a value based on how many shots of that type the average team needs to score, rather than treating them all equally. For example if League 2 clubs

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E ratings: Conference 2014/15

CP sparklines 2014-15

Following on from my earlier post introducing the new “E ratings” I’ve been experimenting with, I thought it would be helpful to illustrate their use by reviewing each division from last season. E ratings are my newest creation, combining the concept of an “expected goals” measure of shot quality with an Elo-style rating system, to track the attacking and defensive performances

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E ratings: League 2 2014/15

L2 sparklines 2014-15

Following on from my earlier post introducing the new “E ratings” I’ve been experimenting with, I thought it would be helpful to illustrate their use by reviewing each division from last season. E ratings are my newest creation, combining the concept of an “expected goals” measure of shot quality with an Elo-style rating system, to track the attacking and defensive performances

Read more
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