League 2 permutations: 1 Oct 2016

Here are the highest and lowest possible positions that each League 2 club can occupy after this weekend’s fixtures. I’ve drawn lines under the automatic promotion and play-off spots, mid-table and the last spot above the relegation zone on both “axes” for ease of reference.

These graphics are explained here, but in a nutshell I crunch through every possible combination of results to work out how far it’s mathematically possible for each club to rise and fall.

l2-permutations-2016-10-01

Even after 10 games the table remains very open, particularly in the top half where even 12th-placed Crawley can rise as high as 2nd this weekend. Nobody in the play-off zone is guaranteed to still be there on Saturday evening apart from Plymouth, whose five-point lead makes them temporarily unusurpable at the summit.

The mood of Blackpool and Mansfield fans will be especially hard to predict. Depending on how events unfold, either could be looking at a league table in which their team is in a play-off place or perilously close to the bottom two.

Any of the bottom nine clubs from Leyton Orient downwards could be sitting in the relegation zone after this round of games, with three other clubs in danger of propping up the division should Newport outperform them.