League 1 permutations: 15 Oct 2016
Here are the highest and lowest possible positions that each League 1 club can occupy after this weekend’s fixtures. I’ve drawn lines under the automatic promotion and play-off spots, mid-table and the last spot above the relegation zone on both “axes” for ease of reference.
These graphics are explained here, but in a nutshell I crunch through every possible combination of results to work out how far it’s mathematically possible for each club to rise and fall.
The League 1 table remains ridiculously close – well below the currently-insurmountable top two of Scunthorpe and Bradford anyway. Only five of the other 22 clubs are even guaranteed to remain in the same half of the table, with only six points separating 6th from 22nd, and over half the division can finish the weekend in the bottom four. This is a great illustration of just how unreliable the league table can be as a measure of team quality at this stage of the season.
Three teams – MK Dons, Oxford and Gillingham – could find themselves in either the play-offs or the relegation zone on Saturday evening, although some big swings in goal difference would be required for some of those scenarios.
Eight different sides could end up bottom of the pile, but apart from Shrewsbury and Coventry the rest could also move into the top half of the table if results went their way.