League 2 permutations: 15 Oct 2016
Here are the highest and lowest possible positions that each League 2 club can occupy after this weekend’s fixtures. I’ve drawn lines under the automatic promotion and play-off spots, mid-table and the last spot above the relegation zone on both “axes” for ease of reference.
These graphics are explained here, but in a nutshell I crunch through every possible combination of results to work out how far it’s mathematically possible for each club to rise and fall.
Plymouth‘s five-point lead at the top renders them unassailable for the time being, although Portsmouth could cut deeply into it should they win at Home Park on Saturday.
With six clubs capable of joining the Pilgrims in the top three and 14 different possible occupants of the play-off zone, it’s safe to say that the table hasn’t really settled down yet. Three clubs – Colchester, Accrington and Hartlepool – could each end up anywhere from 5th to 18th.
Newport could make a morale-boosting escape from the relegation zone this weekend if results go their way, at the expense of two of the five clubs directly above them. Three of those five have played two games more than the Exiles, so their situation isn’t quite as desperate as it looks.