League 1 timelines, 14 Jan 2017

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

Bury’s huge – and potentially crucial – win over Peterborough looks to have owed more to clinical finishing than dominance, but they weren’t able to reap much of an advantage as most of their fellow relegation strugglers also took maximum points. There was a shock – and unfortunate-looking – defeat for Sheffield United at Walsall, which also seemed to be a triumph of finishing rather than chance creation. An honourable mention has to go to Wimbledon for the impressive win over Oxford that moved them back into the top half of the table.