League 2 timelines, 28 Jan 2017

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

Carlisle look to have been fortunate to escape with a draw as Barnet laid siege to their goal after falling behind, while Cheltenham managed to carve out an even more lopsided draw at Crewe. The bottom two of Notts County and Newport both secured impressive wins, albeit at home to low-rated opposition, while another flat performance from Leyton Orient dragged them further into danger.