League 2 timelines, 14 Feb 2017

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

Colchester v Crawley was just plain odd, with the visitors scoring from all three of their shots while the hosts barely threatened after going ahead early on. The points look to have been more or less deservedly shared in the thriller that was Mansfield 4-4 Accrington while there were convincing wins for Barnet, Luton and Stevenage. The latter match was also strange in that visitors Cheltenham didn’t even muster a shot until the last 10 minutes.