League 1 timelines, 28 Feb 2017
A quick explanation
You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.
As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.
This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).
There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.
MK Dons twice took the lead at Bradford but overall look to have been fortunate to leave with a point given how much more their hosts created. Meanwhile Swindon coasted past Gillingham in a result where expected and actual goals totals were eerily similar. A seven-goal thriller at Shrewsbury saw the hosts prevail, but they were perhaps fortunate to do so.