Championship timelines, 10-11 Mar 2017

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

Brighton‘s convincing win last night and Newcastle‘s shock home defeat to highly-rated Fulham has breathed fresh life into the title race. Both Barnsley and Ipswich sneaked late equalisers despite being out-created but there was no such luck for Nottingham Forest or Rotherham despite their second half surges. It was a frustrating afternoon for many of the division’s play-off challengers, with a heavy defeat for Reading, an near-anonymous showing from Leeds and a dismissal-assisted defeat for Sheffield Wednesday.