Form tables, 7 Apr 2017
Here’s the latest update of my form graphics (explained here), which visually rank each team in the top four English divisions based on both their results and underlying performances over the last six league matches.
Tottenham have consistently out-created their opponents during their current five-match winning run, although Man Utd have looked even more impressive without getting the results to go with their dominance.
Crystal Palace‘s fine recent form looks to be the outcome of grinding out results rather than outplaying teams, while Hull‘s own recent imprevement has seen them out-create opponents overall.
West Ham don’t look out of place towards the bottom of the form table: their performances of late resemble the likes of Middlesbrough and Sunderland quite closely on average.
The E Ratings model has admired Wolves for some time so I’m not that surprised by their strong recent form. Reading however continue to be a source of shameful bafflement as they keep winning despite spending a lot of time on the back foot.
Norwich are listing badly, with only Burton and Rotherham having allowed opponents better goalscoring chances over their last six games and only the Millers and Reading creating less in return.
Bolton have picked the perfect time to find another gear and look to be steaming comfortably towards the Championship alongside Sheffield United. While Bradford have looked equally impressive in recent matches they’ve probably left it too late to break into the top two.
Port Vale‘s attacking output has been alarmingly poor recently – worse even than the bottom two of Coventry and Chesterfield. The model flagged them as a team in trouble even when they were in the play-offs due to the lack of chances being created and that problem looks to be persisting.
While Shrewsbury‘s upturn in form after Paul Hurst’s arrival has since been reversed, their performances haven’t looked terrible – they’re giving almost as good as they get – so it wouldn’t take much to turn things around a second time.
Portsmouth look set to finally fulfil their destiny and return to League 1, while Accrington – a long-time fancy of the model’s – are finally putting together a good run to cancel out their mid-season collapse.
Leaders Doncaster definitely aren’t coasting over the finish line: they’re absolutely destroying opponents at the moment so it will be interesting to see what happens when Mansfield (also dominant, albeit in stuttering form) show up this weekend.
Stevenage‘s impressive recent surge looks to have been achieved from fine margins and therefore may not last until the end of the season, although they may already have done enough to secure a play-off place regardless.
The wheels look to have fallen off at Morecambe lately, but also at erstwhile play-off challengers Colchester, who have been out-created to a similarly eye-watering extent.