Championship timelines, 16 Sep 2017

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

Leeds have looked like the real deal so far this season but they went down almost without a fight at Millwall, who have also impressed this season and seem more than capable of staying up. The margin of victory at Bristol City may have flattered the hosts somewhat but they look to have created better chances than Derby, while Burton’s precious (and surprising) win over Fulham doesn’t look like a smash and grab. Preston’s second half comeback – which ended up costing Harry Redknapp his job – was more notable for the quality of the finishing than the chances created, but they kept their hosts impressively quiet.