A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

Hull really did a number on Barnsley, having barely had a look in before popping up with a late goal to snatch all three points. Reading put in a similarly flat performance until late on at Sheffield United, and when I saw their goal alert flash up I thought that they were going to pull off another expected-goals-defying result. Fulham looked pretty fortunate to have been drawing at Villa at half time, so it wasn’t a surprise to see the home side restore their lead, while Brentford’s 3-3 draw with Sunderland looks pretty fair overall.