League 1 timelines, 11-12 Oct 2017

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

Plymouth look incredibly fortunate to have left Bradford with three points, having been heavily out-created overall and creating far fewer chances. Gillingham left it late to secure a draw against Bury but did enough to win the game overall, with Portsmouth doing similar after a dire first half for both teams at Blackpool. Northampton looked convincing in their win at Oxford, who carved out surprisingly little.

Midweek matches

There was one rogue midweek game since the last batch of League 1 fixtures, where Fleetwood managed to frustrate Blackburn:

2017-10-31 Blackburn Fleetwood