League 2 timelines, 23-27 Jan 2018

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.

Individual matches

There’s a reason that Forest Green are bottom of the E Ratings – too many flat performances like their trip to Carlisle, although they did at least manage to limit their hosts’ chances. There was another late turnaround by Mansfield, who created little before the final 25 minutes before storming to victory, and Swindon did similar in their seven-goal thriller at Crewe. There was another muted performance by Luton, whose performances have cooled alarmingly, although their 11-point cushion in the top three means that they can afford a few off-days.

Midweek matches

There were also a couple of midweek fixtures that I’ll tack on here for completeness.