Midweek EFL timelines, 30-31 Jan 2018

A quick explanation

You can skip this if you’ve seen these before.

As usual, here are timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each club’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from the chances that they created) increased over the course of the match.

This allows us to get a better sense of how each game played out than from just watching the highlights. Every jump in a line is a shot, with bigger jumps corresponding to more promising chances (at least as far as I can tell from the limited data available at this level).

There are two numbers next to each club’s name: the first is how many goals they scored and the second (in brackets) is how many goals the average club would have scored from their shots. The latter number is what the lines track, with dots on the lines denoting the goals they actually scored.


Sunderland left it far too late to get back into their game at Birmingham, although the hosts can thank the efficiency of their finishing for allowing them to ride the game out. Leeds and Sheffield Wednesday both look to have clung on for a point despite creating far less than their hosts.

League 1

Just the one game in League 1, where Blackburn made relatively short work of Walsall:

League 2

Coventry look fortunate to have beaten Cambridge, while Wycombe also managed to win at Luton despite seemingly being out-created. Lincoln‘s win over Newport was closer than the scoreline suggested, while Exeter‘s ultimately comfortable win over Forest Green didn’t owe much to a poor first half.