Weekly permutations: 1-4 Nov 2019

These graphics have the current league table on the left, a hollow colour-coded strip showing how far each team is mathematically capable of moving during the next round of fixtures and inside the strip is a little minimalist column chart showing the relative chance of them ending up in each position.

Premier League

Liverpool are safe at the top this weekend and it’s pretty likely that Man City will remain in second given that they’re at home to struggling Southampton. Goal difference means that only a win can realistically lift the Saints out of the bottom three, where Watford alone are doomed to remain for at least another week. Mid-table is still incredibly fluid with only three points separating Man Utd in 7th from Everton in 16th.


Six different clubs can start next week at the top of the Championship, and it’s so close at the summit that only West Brom are guaranteed to stay in the top six this weekend. If Preston can make it, it’ll be the first time they’ve sat top of any table in almost 13 years (since 1st December 2006) – the longest drought of any current Premier League or EFL club. Stoke and Barnsley remain in their own little mini-league at the bottom for now, but six sides are also scrapping to avoid occupying the third relegation slot.

League 1

With Ipswich not playing until midweek, Wycombe and Peterborough have a chance to overtake them at the summit. It’ll be a while before either Southend or Bolton have any range of motion due to seven and 10-point gaps respectively, but there’s a mini-league of teams above them vying to avoid spending time in the bottom three with them.

League 2

A whopping seven different teams can top League 2 this weekend, with Crewe the strong favourites to remain there thanks to a home fixture and a point cushion. The current top seven are starting to break away, with Northampton the only club able to break into the play-off positions on Saturday and the gap between Grimsby and Oldham means that the table is more or less divided into three chunks at present.