Weekly permutations: League 2, 23 Nov 2019

These graphics break down how much the league table can change during the next round of fixtures as follows:

  • Down the left is the current order if league table, with each club’s current league position also indicated by a shaded square in their row.
  • Across each club’s row is a hollow colour-coded strip showing how they are mathematically capable of moving after the next round of fixtures is over, regardless of how crazy the combination of scorelines would need to be.
  • To differentiate between the probable and the possible, inside the strip is a little minimalist column chart showing the relative chance of them ending up in each position based on my ratings model.

This week it looks likely that Swindon will retain their place at the summit but it’s so tight at the top that everyone down to Newport in 9th is mathematically capable of breaking into the automatic promotion places. The flipside of this is that only the Robins are guaranteed to even remain in the top seven after this weekend. There’s plenty of movement possible in the bottom half too, although there are only two clubs that current bottom side Stevenage are capable of overtaking on Saturday.