Weekly permutations: Premier League, 30 Nov – 1 Dec 2019

These graphics break down how much the league table can change during the next round of fixtures as follows:

  • Down the left is the current order if league table, with each club’s current league position also indicated by a shaded square in their row.
  • Across each club’s row is a hollow colour-coded strip showing how they are mathematically capable of moving after the next round of fixtures is over, regardless of how crazy the combination of scorelines would need to be.
  • To differentiate between the probable and the possible, inside the strip is a little minimalist column chart showing the relative chance of them ending up in each position based on my ratings model.

Liverpool remain safe in top spot and the rest of the top four are in their own mini-league at the moment, but below that it’s still ridiculously close. Wolves in 5th are only six points better off than West Ham in 17th, so mid-table could look completely different next week. At the bottom Norwich aren’t likely to escape the bottom three this weekend due to the huge goal difference swing required.