Midweek permutations: Championship, 28 Jan 2020

These graphics break down how much the league table can change during the next round of fixtures as follows:

  • Down the left is the current order if league table, with each club’s current league position also indicated by a shaded square in their row.
  • Across each club’s row is a hollow colour-coded strip showing how they are mathematically capable of moving after the next round of fixtures is over, regardless of how crazy the combination of scorelines would need to be.
  • To differentiate between the probable and the possible, inside the strip is a little minimalist column chart showing the relative chance of them ending up in each position based on my ratings model.

As there are only 8 fixtures being played out of a possible 12, there are some weird hiccups in the chart, such as Brentford and Huddersfield not being able to move up exactly one place. In Brentford’s case this is due to them playing Forest (the team immediately above them) so a draw doesn’t move them up and a win would catapult them above Fulham (who aren’t playing) as well. For Huddersfield it’s because the team above them by a point and with better goal difference (Charlton) aren’t playing, so again a draw doesn’t allow the Terriers to move up while a win would see them leapfrog two places.