With the fate of the football season still hanging in the balance, Sky asked me to calculate how much the league tables could still change if the remaining fixtures were played. Their version of the story is here.

The way the graphic below works is pretty straightforward and it’s exactly the same idea as the weekly permutations: the outer bar shows what’s mathematically possible over the rest of the season while the inner chart is a distribution of what’s actually likely to happen based on my latest model predictions.

While it would be a surprise not to see Leeds and West Brom finish in the top two places, everyone down to 16th-placed Birmingham could still technically top the table. Everyone in the division could still mathematically reach the Premier League, while only the top three are guaranteed not to be relegated.