What’s still possible: League 2
With the fate of the football season still hanging in the balance, Sky asked me to calculate how much the league tables could still change if the remaining fixtures were played. Their version of the story is here.
The way the graphic below works is pretty straightforward and it’s exactly the same idea as the weekly permutations: the outer bar shows what’s mathematically possible over the rest of the season while the inner chart is a distribution of what’s actually likely to happen based on my latest model predictions.
There are still 14 clubs who could mathematically be promoted or relegated and only Stevenage aren’t capable of achieving promotion. With only one relegation place there are already nine clubs who can’t possibly be relegated. Mansfield have a game in hand over Scunthorpe, which is why they can finish inside the automatic promotion places while the Iron can’t. This is also the reason that Swindon have a higher chance of topping the table than current leaders Crewe.