What’s still possible: Premier League
With the fate of the football season still hanging in the balance, Sky asked me to calculate how much the league tables could still change if the remaining fixtures were played. Their version of the story is here.
The way the graphic below works is pretty straightforward and it’s exactly the same idea as the weekly permutations: the outer bar shows what’s mathematically possible over the rest of the season while the inner chart is a distribution of what’s actually likely to happen based on my latest model predictions.
There’s still a slender possibility of Liverpool finishing behind Man City but they can’t mathematically slip any lower in the table. Those two and Leicester are the only clubs who are already safe from relegation, with everyone else able to finish bottom of the table with the right combination of results. Every club in the league is also still capable of reaching the top four.