League 2 game states, 9 Dec 2020
What I’ve done below is to measure how long each club has spent in each of the three main “game states” – i.e. winning, drawing and losing.
I’ve then converted these into percentages because I include stoppage time, which means that even when every club has played the same number of matches they will have a slightly different total number of minutes played.
I’ve then ranked clubs by the difference between the share of time they’ve spent winning versus losing, which feels like the fairest way to do it (and also gives you the nice smooth graph below).
Cheltenham seem to be deserving their spell in the automatic promotion places having spent the division’s highest share of time winning and the lowest in a losing position. The 54.9% of minutes that the Robins have been leading is actually the highest proportion in the top four divisions, and only Tottenham have spent a smaller share of minutes behind.
At the other end of the table, Southend have not only spent the smallest share of time winning and the largest proportion losing, but they’re one of only two clubs in the EFL to have spent longer trailing by two or more goals than by one (the other is Tranmere).
Crawley are interesting as they’ve spent comfortably more time winning than losing yet find themselves in mid-table, while Forest Green are in the automatic spots despite being in the opposite situation.