Euro 2020 permutations, 23 Jun 2021

As the group stage ends today, I’ve updated the Euro 2020 permutations graphics to see how things have changed (and also to give the team-by-team graphics one final outing before they’re switched off).

These are explained in full here.

Team graphics

Here are the probabilities for each of non-eliminated teams alphabetical order. Starting in the bottom half, we have their chances of finishing in each position within their group on the left and their spread of possible points on the right. The top half has their chances of reaching each stage of the tournament on the left and the spread of their most likely opponents at each stage in descending order on the right (with flags and percentages squeezed in where there’s enough space).

I’ve also got summary graphics for the knockout stages.