Category Archives: International

World Cup probabilities, 23 June 2018

I’ve created yet another variation on the World Cup probabilities graphics, this time to illustrate how forthcoming group matches can affect who qualifies for the round of 16. Then way these work is as follows: Using the predictive model I’ve built, powered by the latest World Football Elo Ratings, I’ve simulated the rest of the matches in each group 100,000 times.

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