Category Archives: International

Euro 2020 permutations, 25 Jun 2021

Ahead of the Round of 16, I’ve updated the Euro 2020 permutations graphics to see how things have changed (and also to give the team-by-team graphics another outing by popular demand). These are explained in full here. Team graphics Here are the probabilities for each of non-eliminated teams alphabetical order. Starting in the bottom half, we have their chances of

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Euro 2020 permutations, 23 Jun 2021

As the group stage ends today, I’ve updated the Euro 2020 permutations graphics to see how things have changed (and also to give the team-by-team graphics one final outing before they’re switched off). These are explained in full here. Team graphics Here are the probabilities for each of non-eliminated teams alphabetical order. Starting in the bottom half, we have their

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Euro 2020 permutations, 22 Jun 2021

As we’re in the thick of the final round of group games, I’ve updated the Euro 2020 permutations graphics to see how things have changed. These are explained in full here. Team graphics Here are the probabilities for each of non-eliminated teams alphabetical order. Starting in the bottom half, we have their chances of finishing in each position within their

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Euro 2020 permutations, 20 Jun 2021

As everyone’s now played twice, I’ve updated the Euro 2020 permutations graphics to see how things have changed. These are explained in full here. Team graphics Here are the probabilities for each of the 24 teams alphabetical order. Starting in the bottom half, we have their chances of finishing in each position within their group on the left and their

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Euro 2020 permutations, 16 Jun 2021

As everyone’s now played once, I’ve updated the Euro 2020 permutations graphics to see how things have changed. These are explained in full here. Team graphics Here are the probabilities for each of the 24 teams alphabetical order. Starting in the bottom half, we have their chances of finishing in each position within their group on the left and their

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Predicting Euro 2020

The plan During the 2018 World Cup I was messing about with a simple prediction model based on the Elo ratings and came up with graphics that people quite liked, so I ran then again for the Women’s World Cup the following year and will be giving them another run-out for the Euros. What I’ll be aiming to do throughout

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