Here’s the weekly update of what’s still mathematically possible – and likely – this season. The way the graphics work is pretty straightforward – I just took the version I created a few years ago, which have a bar stretching between each club’s highest and lowest possible finishes, and nested a minimalist chart of my latest model predictions inside each bar.
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Here is the latest update of the E Ratings and how they predict the rest of the season will pan out. The rating system is explained here, but in a nutshell it’s based on the combined quality of chances that clubs create and allow, rather than their results. The attack rating broadly equates to how many goals’ worth of chances a team would
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Here are the individual timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here for anyone who’s not seen them before.
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As we’re approaching the business end of the season, a single match can often have a huge impact on the fortunes of the teams involved. I’ve therefore had a crack at using the ratings model to identify this weekend’s most pivotal fixtures by simulating the rest of the season and tracking what tends to happen when each match ends in
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Below are the individual preview graphics for each game in the forthcoming round of fixtures. These smash together minimalist versions of two visualisations: each club’s E Ratings and their relative positions on the attack and defence scatter graphics. I’ve explained them fully here, but in summary they’re intended as a simple pre-match comparison of two teams using high-level performance data. The graphic
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Here are the individual timeline graphics for the latest round of matches. There’s a full explanation of these here for anyone who’s not seen them before. League 1 Bradford recorded a rare win against a highly-rated Portsmouth side and look to have earned it. There were slow starts at both Rochdale and Wigan, with Dale ultimately frustrated despite doing enough to net a couple
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Here’s the weekly update of what’s still mathematically possible – and likely – this season. The way the graphics work is pretty straightforward – I just took the version I created a few years ago, which have a bar stretching between each club’s highest and lowest possible finishes, and nested a minimalist chart of my latest model predictions inside each bar.
Read more