With the fate of the football season still hanging in the balance, Sky asked me to calculate how much the league tables could still change if the remaining fixtures were played. Their version of the story is here. The way the graphic below works is pretty straightforward and it’s exactly the same idea as the weekly permutations: the outer bar
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These graphics are intended to give a quick visual overview of the age of players that each club has fielded in league matches using a technique very similar to “population pyramid” graphs, although I’ll freely admit that they’ve come out with shades of the Rorschach test (or as someone observed on Twitter, the Habitat lighting range). Explanation Hopefully they’re fairly self-explanatory, but
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While the season is suspended it feels like a good time to update the scatter graphics. These compare the attacking and defensive performances of every team in a division – each of the four graphics is explained briefly below and at length here. Shot dominance First of all, here is how the number of shots taken by each club compares with
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Here are the individual timeline graphics for the latest round of matches, comparing the quality of chances created by each team with goals scored. There’s a full explanation of these here for anyone who’s not seen them before. League 1 League 2
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As we’re roughly halfway through the season, I thought it was worth refreshing the club-by-club attack breakdowns. These are explained in detail here, but in summary they are simple scatter graphics that work as follows: Explanation Each graphic shows a club’s main attacking players: those who have: Featured for at least a quarter of their total pitch minutes in the league
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Here is how the model predicts the rest of the season will pan out. The rating system is explained here, but in a nutshell it’s based on the combined quality of chances that clubs create and allow, rather than their results. I’ve used each club’s current ratings and those of their remaining opponents to predict how the rest of the
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These alternative league tables are calculated using expected goals (as seen in my match timelines). There’s a full explanation in the first post here.
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Here are the individual timeline graphics for the latest round of matches, comparing the quality of chances created by each team with goals scored. There’s a full explanation of these here for anyone who’s not seen them before.
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These graphics break down how much the league table can change during the next round of fixtures as follows: Down the left is the current order if league table, with each club’s current league position also indicated by a shaded square in their row. Across each club’s row is a hollow colour-coded strip showing how they are mathematically capable of
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Apologies are in order first of all as once again I took the ratings model apart over the summer and then struggled to find the time to put it back together again. It’s still not quite where I’d like it to be, but it shouldn’t be any worse than the version that ran last season. Here is how the model
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