Apologies are in order first of all as once again I took the ratings model apart over the summer and then struggled to find the time to put it back together again. It’s still not quite where I’d like it to be, but it shouldn’t be any worse than the version that ran last season. Here is how the model
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Here are the individual timeline graphics for the latest round of matches, comparing the quality of chances created by each team with goals scored. There’s a full explanation of these here for anyone who’s not seen them before. League 1 League 2
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These alternative league tables are calculated using expected goals (as seen in my match timelines). There’s a full explanation in the first post here.
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Here are the individual timeline graphics for the latest round of matches, comparing the quality of chances created by each team with goals scored. There’s a full explanation of these here for anyone who’s not seen them before.
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Something that gets discussed a lot is which clubs start and finish games well (and badly), but rather than just break down when clubs score and concede their goals during a match, what I’ve done here is to calculate what each club’s league position would have been if only goals scored up to a certain minute counted, starting with the
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These graphics break down how much the league table can change during the next round of fixtures as follows: Down the left is the current order if league table, with each club’s current league position also indicated by a shaded square in their row. Across each club’s row is a hollow colour-coded strip showing how they are mathematically capable of
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These alternative league tables are calculated using expected goals (as seen in my match timelines). There’s a full explanation in the first post here.
Read more