Category Archives: National League

Scatter graphics: National League, 2015/16 season

Now that the “regular season” is over in the National League, here are the final set of scatter graphics. These compare the attacking and defensive performance of each club: they are explained here if you haven’t seen them before and the previous instalment is here. Shot dominance First of all, here is how the number of shots taken by each club compares with

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Updated probabilities, 17 Apr 2016

I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the weekend’s Football League and National League fixtures last night to see what effect they’ve had on where each club is predicted to finish at the end of the season. Obviously a few fates have already been decided, but there are plenty of clubs with something still to play for. If you’ve not seen these

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National League permutations: 16 Apr 2016

Here are the highest and lowest possible positions that each National League club can occupy after this weekend’s fixtures. I’ve drawn lines under the last play-off spot, mid-table and the last spot above the relegation zone on both “axes” for ease of reference. If you want to quickly browse versions of this graphic for other divisions then you can select VISUALISATIONS > PERMUTATIONS from

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What’s still possible: National League, 13 Apr 2016

At work earlier this week I looked at how far it’s still mathematically possible for each Premier League club to rise and fall, and was surprised to see how far each can still move at this late stage of the season: I looked at how much each PL club's league position could still change. A lot, it turns out: https://t.co/U431xC8ygy pic.twitter.com/D7VTei4Dzo

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Updated probabilities, 13 Apr 2016

I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the batch of midweek Football League and National League fixtures last night to see what effect they’ve had on where each club is predicted to end up at the end of the season. If you’ve not seen these graphics before, they show the cumulative probability of where each club could finish, in descending order of their average final league

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Midweek previews, 12 Apr 2016

Here are the preview graphics for each of this evening’s Football League and National League matches. The templates below smash together compact versions of two visualisations: each club’s E Ratings and their relative positions on the attack and defence scatter graphics. I’ve explained them fully here, but in summary they’re intended as a simple pre-match comparison of two teams ahead of a match

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National League match timelines: 9 Apr 2016

Here are the match timeline graphics for each of the weekend’s National League matches. There’s a full explanation of these here, but in a nutshell they track how each team’s expected goals tally (the number of goals that the average team would have scored from their shots) changed over the course of the match. You can browse previous timelines by selecting “VISUALISATIONS > TIMELINES” from the menu.

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