This is an update one of my more off-the-wall regular pieces, looking at how different the league table would be if matches finished earlier. These usually tend to generate a few comments which begin with “If my Auntie had…” but I think they’re an interesting way to identify teams who tend to start or end matches unusually well or badly. What I’ve
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I’ve been pushing a fair few complex stats this season, so for a change of pace I thought I’d take a look at something much simpler. As part of PA’s coverage of Leicester’s title-winning season I built a tool which takes a list of results for a given division and tells you how the league table looked at the end
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Now that the “regular season” is over in the National League, here are the final set of scatter graphics. These compare the attacking and defensive performance of each club: they are explained here if you haven’t seen them before and the previous instalment is here. Shot dominance First of all, here is how the number of shots taken by each club compares with
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The last day of the National League season – barring the play-offs – is finally here and there’s still something left to play for at both ends of the table. Here I’ve looked at the six matches which will collectively decide who finishes in the top five and who avoids the drop into the sixth tier. First of all, here’s what
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I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the weekend’s Football League and National League fixtures last night to see what effect they’ve had on where each club is predicted to finish at the end of the season. Obviously a few fates have already been decided, but there are plenty of clubs with something still to play for. If you’ve not seen these
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Here are the highest and lowest possible positions that each National League club can occupy after this weekend’s fixtures. I’ve drawn lines under the last play-off spot, mid-table and the last spot above the relegation zone on both “axes” for ease of reference. If you want to quickly browse versions of this graphic for other divisions then you can select VISUALISATIONS > PERMUTATIONS from
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At work earlier this week I looked at how far it’s still mathematically possible for each Premier League club to rise and fall, and was surprised to see how far each can still move at this late stage of the season: I looked at how much each PL club's league position could still change. A lot, it turns out: https://t.co/U431xC8ygy pic.twitter.com/D7VTei4Dzo
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I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the batch of midweek Football League and National League fixtures last night to see what effect they’ve had on where each club is predicted to end up at the end of the season. If you’ve not seen these graphics before, they show the cumulative probability of where each club could finish, in descending order of their average final league
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Here are the preview graphics for each of this evening’s Football League and National League matches. The templates below smash together compact versions of two visualisations: each club’s E Ratings and their relative positions on the attack and defence scatter graphics. I’ve explained them fully here, but in summary they’re intended as a simple pre-match comparison of two teams ahead of a match
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Here is the latest update to the E Ratings (explained here) for the National League and how they predict the rest of the season will pan out. The graphic below lists each club in descending order of their overall E Rating and shows how this – along with their individual attack and defence ratings – have changed over the past 30 league matches.
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