Category Archives: Premier League

Expected goals table: Premier League, 3-5 Dec 2019

These alternative league tables are calculated using expected goals (as seen in my match timelines). There’s a full explanation in the first post here. The expected goals model continues to court controversy, suggesting that there’s a realistic alternative timeline in which runaway leaders Liverpool are only above Chelsea on goal difference with nine fewer points than they have in reality,

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Weekly permutations: Premier League, 30 Nov – 1 Dec 2019

These graphics break down how much the league table can change during the next round of fixtures as follows: Down the left is the current order if league table, with each club’s current league position also indicated by a shaded square in their row. Across each club’s row is a hollow colour-coded strip showing how they are mathematically capable of

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