With the regular Championship season over, I thought that I should update the graphics which track my model predictions to see how each team performed relative to its predictions. Explanation The way it works is pretty simple: for pre-season and after every round of games it shows the results of my simulations for a specific club in terms of both: How
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With the regular League 2 season over, I thought that I should update the graphics which track my model predictions to see how each team performed relative to its predictions. Explanation The way it works is pretty simple: for pre-season and after every round of games it shows the results of my simulations for a specific club in terms of both: How
Read more
With the regular League 1 season over, I thought that I should update the graphics which track my model predictions to see how each team performed relative to its predictions. Explanation The way it works is pretty simple: for pre-season and after every round of games it shows the results of my simulations for a specific club in terms of both:
Read more
Regular readers will know that I churn out updated model predictions after every round of matches but I’m aware that there’s quite a lot of information in them and they can be difficult to track. I’m pretty keen to keep tabs on how well the model performs myself – not least because I’m constantly tinkering with it – so I’ve come
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Regular readers will know that I churn out updated model predictions after every round of matches but I’m aware that there’s quite a lot of information in them and they can be difficult to track. I’m pretty keen to keep tabs on how well the model performs myself – not least because I’m constantly tinkering with it – so I’ve come
Read more
Regular readers will know that I churn out updated model predictions after every round of matches but I’m aware that there’s quite a lot of information in them and they can be difficult to track. I’m pretty keen to keep tabs on how well the model performs myself – not least because I’m constantly tinkering with it – so I’ve come
Read more
I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the weekend’s Football League fixtures to see what effect they’ve had on where each club is predicted to finish at the end of the season. Obviously a few fates have already been decided, but there are still clubs with something still to play for in all three divisions. If you’ve not seen these graphics before, they
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I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the midweek fixtures last night to see what effect they’ve had on where each League 2 club is predicted to end up at the end of the season. If you’ve not seen these graphics before, they show the cumulative probability of where each club could finish, in descending order of their average final league position across 10,000 simulations of the rest
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I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the midweek fixtures last night to see what effect they’ve had on where each League 1 club is predicted to end up at the end of the season. If you’ve not seen these graphics before, they show the cumulative probability of where each club could finish, in descending order of their average final league position across 10,000 simulations of the rest
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I’ve re-run my E Ratings model after the midweek fixtures last night to see what effect they’ve had on where each Championship club is predicted to end up at the end of the season. If you’ve not seen these graphics before, they show the cumulative probability of where each club could finish, in descending order of their average final league position across 10,000 simulations of the rest
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Experimental 3-6-1 
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