Author Archives: Experimental 3-6-1

Fixture difficulty matrices: National League, 2018/19

As usual, I’ve taken the newly-released National League fixtures and combined them with an aggregation of leading bookmakers’ odds (from OddsChecker) to visualise where each club’s tough and easy matches appear to be next season. Each row in the matrix below lists a club’s league matches in chronological order, colour-coded based on how difficult they appear to be and the

Read more

World Cup probabilities, 23 June 2018

I’ve created yet another variation on the World Cup probabilities graphics, this time to illustrate how forthcoming group matches can affect who qualifies for the round of 16. Then way these work is as follows: Using the predictive model I’ve built, powered by the latest World Football Elo Ratings, I’ve simulated the rest of the matches in each group 100,000 times.

Read more
« Older Entries