What’s still possible: Premier League, 2 Apr 2017
With Rotherham’s relegation confirmed yesterday and the season fast running out of matches, I thought it was worth dusting off another post from last year which looked at what was still mathematically possible (no matter how unlikely) in each division.
A quick explanation
I’ve built a tool which narrows down how far each club can move based on the maximum number of points everyone has available and then checks for individual matches that limit how far each club can actually move before recalculating the table. I’ve then plugged the results into my existing permutations graphics to show each club’s range of movement.
If you’re not convinced by anything then there’s a handy tool that you can use to manually check what’s possible yourself.
So it’s still mathematically possible (although obviously not very likely) for Everton to win the title. Both they and Arsenal can actually still either win the title or be relegated, which is slightly insane.
In fact, everyone beneath the Toffees in the table currently can still technically finish in last place, even at this relatively late stage of the season.
Leaders Chelsea and second-placed Tottenham are the only two clubs assured of a top half finish as it stands, but there remain possible scenarios in which both miss out on European football next season.
Only six teams are guaranteed to finish outside the Champions League places and even bottom side Sunderland could still end up in the top half of the table with the right combination of results.