These alternative league tables are calculated using expected goals (as seen in my match timelines). There’s a full explanation in the first post here.

Leeds continue to set the standard – based on the data they should be running away with the league rather than scrapping to stay in the automatic promotion race. Stoke are underachieving to an even greater extent so their strong second half showing today was no surprise. Likewise the low-energy draw between Bristol City and Nottingham Forest wasn’t all that shocking given that both look to have been overachieving significantly so far.